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Japan accepts it needs immigrants for its economy to survive
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Japan accepts it needs immigrants for its economy to survive
The Japanese Diet, the nation’s parliament, is currently debating whether the country’s tight immigration laws should be modified to allow more lower-skilled workers to come into the country. The legislation that provides for this passed the lower house on Tuesday and will now go to the upper house. The government is hoping to get it through by 10 December.
This is important because up to now, while high-skilled workers have been able to immigrate into Japan, low-skilled ones have found it much harder to do so. It is generally accepted that the country does need more immigrants to cope with the economic impact of its ageing population, however there is social pressure to resist this – part of a wider theme in Japan of reverence for its specialness, an isolationism that has deep historical roots.
What should we make of this? Some numbers, some history and some thoughts for the future.
The numbers: Japan is already the oldest society on Earth, the oldest that has ever existed, with more than one-third of its population over the age of 60, and a median age of 46. It will inevitably become older still. Its population is falling, with the current 126 million projected to have declined to 87 million by 2060. (UK population is projected to rise to 77 million by then.) While you have to take long-term population projections with a pinch of salt – I do not believe the calculation that by 2500 the Japanese population will be zero – the present decline is already evident away from the big city centres. There are villages where there are no children; they are, in effect, being abandoned.
Might immigration change this? Only up to a point. There are already more than 2 million immigrants in the country, and the number expected under these new measures is only 345,000 over five years for the lower-skilled category. They will not be able to bring in family members, and many of these new visas may actually be taken up by workers already in the country, at present categorised as technical interns. There is another form of visa, a renewable one, for higher-skilled workers, but again it is not clear how many more people will come as a result of the changes.
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices...-a8656366.html
This is important because up to now, while high-skilled workers have been able to immigrate into Japan, low-skilled ones have found it much harder to do so. It is generally accepted that the country does need more immigrants to cope with the economic impact of its ageing population, however there is social pressure to resist this – part of a wider theme in Japan of reverence for its specialness, an isolationism that has deep historical roots.
What should we make of this? Some numbers, some history and some thoughts for the future.
The numbers: Japan is already the oldest society on Earth, the oldest that has ever existed, with more than one-third of its population over the age of 60, and a median age of 46. It will inevitably become older still. Its population is falling, with the current 126 million projected to have declined to 87 million by 2060. (UK population is projected to rise to 77 million by then.) While you have to take long-term population projections with a pinch of salt – I do not believe the calculation that by 2500 the Japanese population will be zero – the present decline is already evident away from the big city centres. There are villages where there are no children; they are, in effect, being abandoned.
Might immigration change this? Only up to a point. There are already more than 2 million immigrants in the country, and the number expected under these new measures is only 345,000 over five years for the lower-skilled category. They will not be able to bring in family members, and many of these new visas may actually be taken up by workers already in the country, at present categorised as technical interns. There is another form of visa, a renewable one, for higher-skilled workers, but again it is not clear how many more people will come as a result of the changes.
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices...-a8656366.html
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