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Hey America, Canada Is Pivoting To Asia And This Time China Will Celebrate
Former U.S. President Barack Obama didn’t just coin a catchy phrase when he announced in 2011 the American “pivot to Asia.” His idea for shifting American economic, diplomatic and military resources from the Middle East to the far eastern side of this 4.4 billion-person continent ruffled China, which figured the whole scheme was meant to contain its expansion. By 2016, the final full year of Obama’s term, the pivot had waned. New President Donald Trump has done little to restore it.

But before it fizzled, the pivot concept had floated up to Canada, which is taking up the cause now, according to this study from the country in question. And the U.S. neighbor with 36 million people shows no signs of trying to rein in China by selling arms to Asian countries that have territorial disputes with Beijing or joining multi-country efforts to resist Chinese maritime expansion.

The pivot emerging in Canada lacks tangible specifics, but word from think tanks and media tell us this: Canada needs Asia for export diversification as its own exports have lost market share since 2000, the study cited earlier says. Exports fell from 528 billion Canadian dollars (US$421 billion) in 2014 to 521 billion a year ago. Canada had a shot at more trade with four Asian countries through the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal of 2016, but Trump effectively killed the pact in January.

Canadian voters picked the Liberal Party to rule in 2015 elections to try making their country a “constructive, pragmatic and influential force in international affairs,” public policy website Opencanada.org says. The party's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has vowed to “regain Canada’s influence and voice on the international stage,” it says.

Last year Trudeau attended the Group of 20 and Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summits, giving him access to Asia's major heads of state. In 2015 he sought to increase in trade with fellow resource-rich country Indonesia and in 2016 he met Chinese President Xi Jinping. After that encounter, China’s foreign ministry heralded “a batch of landmark projects” based on expanded “practical cooperation” in areas such as equipment manufacturing and energy conservation. China is the world's second largest economy after the United States.

Canada should find among APEC's 21 nations welcome exposure for small and medium-sized businesses, which are 98% of the Canadian economy, Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada CEO Stewart Beck said in a commentary here. China is a member of the group. Beck sees “an opportunity for Canada to demonstrate that its growth and development objectives align with those of our APEC partners.”

Canada is unlikely to extend its pivot in Asia to a role in controlling Beijing’s contentious quests for control over the East China Sea, South China Sea and land along borders such as the one disputed with Bhutan. Japan (no friend of China) is already taking a lead in regional politics, notes Collin Koh, maritime security research fellow at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore. India (another non-friend of China) is looking after Bhutan and, increasingly, Vietnam. Canada just wants to fit in, Koh suggests.

“You have ready powers resident within the West Pacific to fill the void,” he says. “I don’t think there’s any space for Canada to fill that void except to play sort of a companion role in it, so it’s more of trying to join the game than lead the game.”.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphje.../#4af34b4173d2
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